Track record

Every forecast is stored before kickoff and scored against the final result. Insufficient-data matches are excluded from accuracy and counted separately (1 of 7 stored).

This page currently includes 7 sample records for demonstration.

Scored forecasts

60.0%

1X2 accuracy

naive pick ≈ 33-45%

0.388

Brier score

lower is better · 0.667 = no skill

0.701

Log loss

1.099 = no skill

0.0%

Exact score hits

60%

Over/Under 1.5

80%

Over/Under 2.5

60%

Over/Under 3.5

60%

BTTS accuracy

Calibration of 1X2 probabilities

Each forecast contributes three probabilities. In a calibrated model, events given 30% happen about 30% of the time. Small samples are noisy.

Bin	Count	Predicted	Observed
0-10%	3	7.8%	0.0%
10-20%	3	15.4%	0.0%
20-30%	4	26.9%	50.0%
40-50%	2	46.2%	0.0%
70-80%	3	76.8%	100.0%

Top bar predicted, lower bar observed.

Awaiting results (0)

Nothing waiting. Finished matches appear here until the final score is recorded.

Scored matches

21:00

Sample Park vs Sample Vale Sample

Sample Harbour vs Sample Forest Sample

Sample Albion vs Sample Town Sample

Sample City vs Sample Wanderers Sample

Sample Rovers vs Sample Athletic Sample