New forecast

Enter only what you have verified. Leave unknown fields blank: blank is treated as missing, never as zero, and lowers the data-quality score. Once saved, the forecast is locked.

Fixture
01

Fixture

Verify date, kickoff, competition and teams from an official source. Kickoff is in Mauritius time (UTC+4).

Collect data online

Fills form, home/away goals, xG, league averages and rest days from Understat (Big-5 leagues), and adds unverified team-news headlines with source links.

Home and away performance
02

Home and away performance

Model B. Goals per match in venue-specific games, plus the league averages used as the baseline.

Default 1.45

Default 1.15

Recent form
03

Recent form

Model A. Last five matches: results as letters (W, D, L) and goals per match over those five.

Oldest to newest

Expected goals
04

Expected goals

Model C. Per-match xG and xGA from FBref, Understat or similar. Do not guess these values.

Team strength and news
05

Team strength and news

Model F and availability. Ratings 0-100 from your own squad assessment; absence severity 0 (full strength) to 5 (key players and goalkeeper out).

Tactics, head-to-head and context
06

Tactics, head-to-head and context

Tactical edge from -5 (away favoured) to +5 (home favoured). Head-to-head counts from recent, relevant meetings only.

External forecasts (reference only)
07

External forecasts (reference only)

Model H. Percentages published by Forebet, PredictZ, WinDrawWin or similar. They carry 5% weight and never decide the result.

Sources and risks
08

Sources and risks

One source per line as Name | URL. Every important finding needs a source and a retrieval time.

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